High-capacity uses such as HDTV are not going to happen … [I] hope bandwidth will get cheaper … the problems are going to be in the periphery of uses.
Predictor: Rutkowski, Anthony Michael
Prediction, in context:A remark Anthony Rutkowski, then the executive director of the Internet Society, makes about the Clinton-administration-favored Clipper Chip for encryption security at a seminar at ITU headquarters in 1994 is quoted in a 1994 article for Communications Daily. The article says: ”On available bandwidth, cost and performance questions, Rutkowski said: (1) High-capacity uses such as HDTV ‘are not going to happen.’ (2) He hoped ‘local access to bandwidth will get cheaper.’ (3) ‘Carriers intend to stay well ahead of the curve’ for performance and routing capabilities. ‘This is not a mass media technology … The problems are going to be in the periphery’ of uses.”
Biography:Anthony Michael (Tony) Rutkowski was a lawyer and engineer who was an executive director of the Internet Society during some key years of development in the 1990s. (Technology Developer/Administrator.)
Date of prediction: June 14, 1994
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Communications Dialy
Title, headline, chapter name: Clipper Chip Doomed? It’s ‘Hopeless’ to Try to Control Encrypted Internet Traffic, ITU is Told
Quote Type: Partial quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=c0a2fbab03490b7556e7a8471138a4cb&_docnum=1&wchp=dGLbVlz-lSlAl&_md5=68d0c7cb906c01fe948c927a1afc4b24
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Smith, Ian T.