Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Many copyright holders see global computer networks and other new technology as a threat to their livelihoods. Traditional copyright law has relied heavily on physical possession of a book or painting or CD-ROM. The new technology changes the rules. Whatever the medium, text, still images or even moving pictures, some copyright holders depict the Net as a pirate’s pipeline. In its place they want a new electronic marketplace with many opportunities for pay-per-download endeavors.

Predictor: Rothman, David

Prediction, in context:

In 1995, the U.S. Department of Education’s Office of Educational Technology commissioned a series of white papers on various issues related to networking technologies. The department convened the authors for a workshop in November 1995 to discuss the implications. The following statement is taken from one of the white papers, “Copyright and K-12: Who Pays in the Network Era?,” by David Rothman, a member of the Consortium for School Networking and author of “Networld!: What People are Really Doing on the Internet and What it Means to You.” Rothman writes: ”Not surprisingly, many copyright holders see global computer networks and other new technology as a threat to their livelihoods. Traditional copyright law has relied heavily on physical possession of a book or painting or CD-ROM. The new technology changes the rules. Whatever the medium, text, still images or even moving pictures, some copyright holders depict the Net as a pirate’s pipeline. In its place they want a new electronic marketplace with many opportunities for pay-per-download endeavors.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism

Name of publication: The Future of Networking Technologies for Learning

Title, headline, chapter name: Copyright and K-12: Who Pays in the Network Era?

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.ed.gov/Technology/Futures/

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney