Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Because it is so easy to copy and distribute information electronically, computer networks present a serious risk to intellectual property.

Predictor: Denning, Dorothy

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for the Journal of Criminal Justice Education, Dorothy Denning writes about a growing Internet marketplace and the risk of emerging computer criminals: ”Because it is so easy to copy and distribute information electronically, computer networks present a serious risk to intellectual property. Commercial software is frequently uploaded onto bulletin boards and made available for free downloading in violation of copyrights and software licensing agreements … The Software Publishers Association has identified 1,600 bulletin boards carrying bootleg software and estimated that $7.4 billion-worth of software was lost to piracy in 1993; by some industry estimates, $2 billion of that was stolen over the Internet. Documents, music, and images are similarly distributed.”

Biography:

Dorothy Denning was a professor and chair of Computer Science at Georgetown University in the 1990s, by which time she had been in the field of computer security and cryptography for two decades. Previous to her arrival at GU, she worked at Digital Equipment Corporation, SRI International and Purdue University. Her books include “Cryptography and Data Security” and “Information Warfare and Security.” She authored many Internet research studies. She was the first president of the International Association for Cryptologic Research. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)

Date of prediction: December 13, 1994

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism

Name of publication: Journal of Criminal Justice Education

Title, headline, chapter name: Crime and Crypto on the Information Superhighway

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.cs.georgetown.edu/~dennning/crypto/Crime-and-Crypto.txt

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney