The prediction, in brief:

A steady increase in the market for encryption products is likely, as is a continued expansion into this market by foreign manufacturers.

Predictor: Hoffman, Lance

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 research article on cryptography policy, authors Lance Hoffman, Anne Huybrechts, Ali Faraz and Steven Heckler write:”Given the increased use of computers and networks, a steady increase in the market for encryption products is likely, as is a continued expansion into this market by foreign manufacturers. U.S. hardware and software producers are stymied by relatively stringent export restrictions imposed by the U.S. government.”

Biography:

Lance Hoffman, a professor at George Washington University, was a security expert and the author of the 1994 National Science Foundation paper “Civilizing Cyberspace: Priority Policy Issues in a National Information Infrastructure” in addition to many other research pieces in the 1990s. He wrote the book “Rogue Programs: Viruses, Worms and Trojan Horses” (Van Nostrand Rheinhold, 1990). (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: Communications of the ACM

Title, headline, chapter name: Cryptography Policy

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web4.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/833/751/34311839w4/purl=rc2_EAIM_1_Cryptography+Policy___09/1994______________________________________________________&dyn=sig!2?sw_aep=ncliveec

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Johnson, Kathleen