Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Some researchers and educators who depend on the Internet may need some assistance in adjusting to increased infrastructure prices. Infrastructure support should be a function of the overall research funding process … The critical concerns are avoiding disruption from a sudden and sharp imposition of new user charges, minimizing administrative burdens, and assuring equitable access to public support. Over the long term, more generalized mechanisms may evolve.

Predictor: National Research Council

Prediction, in context:

In 1994, the NRENaissance Committee, appointed by the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board of the National Research Council, produced a special report titled “Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond.” Among the committee members were Internet pioneers Leonard Kleinrock, David Clark, David Farber, Lawrence Landweber and Robert Kahn. The committee’s goal was to “study issues raised by the shift to a larger, more truly national networking capability.” Among its statements, it says: ”Some researchers and educators who depend on the Internet – for example, individuals with large amounts of use related to their work and those with limited institutional support – may need some assistance in adjusting to increased infrastructure prices. Infrastructure support should be a function of the overall research funding process: agencies underwriting research that requires high bandwidth, for example, should either provide access to the necessary infrastructure (e.g., NSF’s new very-high-speed backbone network service (vBNS) or DOE’s ESnet) or expect to cover extraordinary costs – not on the basis of entitlement but as a function of the work being done and its requirements. The critical concerns are avoiding disruption from a sudden and sharp imposition of new user charges, minimizing administrative burdens, and assuring equitable access to public support. Over the long term, more generalized mechanisms may evolve.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Global Relationships/Politics

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond

Title, headline, chapter name: Deploying the Open Data Network Architecture

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://stills.nap.edu/html/rtif/

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney