Draft notes, e-mail, plans, source code, to-do lists, what have you – all can be hyperdocument pieces, instantly and intrinsically linkable, and with work processes involving fewer and fewer hard-copy printouts.
Predictor: Engelbart, Douglas
Prediction, in context:In a 1995 article in Byte, Douglas Engelbart writes about the future: ”One of the ideas computer-oriented folks have contributed is the open hyperdocument system. For this to make a difference, we must shed our outdated concept of a document. We need to think in terms of flexible jumping and viewing options. The objects assembled into a document should be dealt with explicitly as representations of kernel concepts in the authors’ minds, and explicit structuring options have to be utilized to provide a much enhanced mapping of the source concept structures … But this needs to become the way the majority of people do all their work. Draft notes, e-mail, plans, source code, to-do lists, what have you – all can be hyperdocument pieces, instantly and intrinsically linkable, and with work processes involving fewer and fewer hard-copy printouts. If the dream of improving human destiny doesn’t move people, how about the thought that the companies that adopt the best CoDIAK-improvement strategy will have a significant competitive advantage. Wouldn’t you want your group to have the highest collective IQ?”
Biography:Douglas Engelbart, the inventor of the computer mouse, spent 40 years predicting, designing and implementing the future of organizational computing. In 1962, while at the Stanford Research Institute, he produced the paper “Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” from which came the concepts of augmenting human intellect, improvement infrastructure, co-evolution of artifacts with social-cultural language-practices and bootstrapping. His Augmentation Research Center developed an array of important human-computer interface solutions, including hypermedia. In 1989 he co-founded the Bootstrap Institute, a non-profit organization “in a quest to form strategic alliances aimed at improving organizations and society at large.” (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: September 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Byte
Title, headline, chapter name: Dreaming of the Future: Digital Technology Could Help Make This a Better World, But We’ve Also Got to Change Our Way of Thinking
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.byte.com/art/9509/sec15/art1.htm
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam