The same technology that we’re developing for the broadband public network will be applicable to the private networks of the future. The local-area network of the future is actually the same asynchronous transfer mode, packet-switched, two-way broadband network that’s being constructed to bring movies to your home, or provide video telephony.
Predictor: Mundie, Craig
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for Information Week, reporter John Soat, quotes Microsoft’s Craig Mundie. Soat writes: ”Advanced Consumer Technology Group (ACT) is charged with developing Microsoft’s information highway strategy. That strategy involves an ambitious architecture including software for computers running at network service providers, software support for various network protocols and technologies, such as fiber-optic or coaxial cable, and software for the client end of the system, either a PC or a device operating in conjunction with a TV, usually known as a set-top box … ‘A lot of the investment we’re making is dual-purpose,’ says Mundie. ‘It’s core technology that finds its way back to the basic fabric of personal computing and client-server computing as it’s emerging in the home and at work … The same technology that we’re developing for the broadband public network will be applicable to the private networks of the future,’ says Mundie. ‘The local-area network of the future is actually the same asynchronous transfer mode, packet-switched, two-way broadband network that’s being constructed to bring movies to your home, or provide video telephony.'”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Pipeline/Switching/Hardware
Name of publication: Information Week
Title, headline, chapter name: Driving Microsoft: As Head of its Advanced Technology Group, Nathan Myhrvold Has the Software Giant in the Fast Lane of Development for the Information Highway
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=c5119b461486ac90ccefc42d67310df6&_docnum=1&wchp=dGLbVtb-lSlAl&_md5=c91a82b93da3642ed39a261f999380ba
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Edwards, Elizabeth