Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

There’s a lot of concern for privacy today. But I do worry about the idea of saving people from themselves. Just because I sign up for a traceable form of money doesn’t mean I want my next-door neighbor to see my transactions.

Predictor: Myhrvold, Nathan

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for Wired magazine on e-cash, Steven Levy quotes Nathan Myhrvold of Microsoft: ”There’s a role for untraceable [monetary] transactions. But it’s not a panacea. Some people get very worked up about it. But there’s been a very steady trend away from untraceable cash. There are cases where explicit traceability is a good thing. Like in my business expenses. I want them to trace it! All these things are there for a reason. They’re not there as part of a plan by nefarious Big Brother … There’s a lot of concern for privacy today. But I do worry about the idea of saving people from themselves. Just because I sign up for a traceable form of money doesn’t mean I want my next-door neighbor to see my transactions.”

Biography:

Nathan Myhrvold worked at Microsoft Corporation as chief technology officer in the 1990s. Myhrvold was responsible for the Advanced Technology and Research Group, which had a budget of over $2 billion per year. Earlier, he was group vice president of Applications and Content, which included a number of Microsoft divisions, including Desktop Applications, Consumer, Research and Microsoft On Line Systems. (Technology Developer/Administrator.)

Date of prediction: December 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Economic structures

Subtopic: E-cash

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: E-Money (That’s What I Want)

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/2.12/emoney_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney