Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

If real-time and time-of-day energy pricing causes the shifting of industrial or business activities and processes to off-peak hours, will this eventually cause the leveling off of demand such that the utilities will then have no incentive for offering lower-cost energy for off-peak-hour usage? How will the higher cost of energy during peak times of the day affect those persons and organizations that are just beginning to telecommute?

Predictor: Aiken, Robert J.

Prediction, in context:

In a research presentation titled “Energy Utilities in the Internet and NII: Users or Providers?,” presented at the Internet Society’s INET ’95 June 27-30 in Honolulu, Hawaii, Robert J. Aiken, John S. Cavallini and Mary Ann Scott of the U.S. Department of Energy say: ”We leave you with an ironic issue. If real-time and time-of-day energy pricing causes the shifting of industrial or business activities and processes to off-peak hours, will this eventually cause the leveling off of demand such that the utilities will then have no incentive for offering lower-cost energy for off-peak-hour usage? How will the higher cost of energy during peak times of the day affect those persons and organizations that are just beginning to telecommute? The majority of people participating in a telecommuting plan are responsible for assuming the energy costs for heating/cooling their residences as well as running their computing and communications equipment.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Economic structures

Subtopic: Telecommuting

Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)

Title, headline, chapter name: Energy Utilities in the Internet and NII: Users or Providers?

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PAPER/221/html/paper.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney