Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

If total public cryptography and lots of financial transactions come to the Net, will you pay taxes in the future? You won’t. This is one terrifying fantasy from the government standpoint … A whole lot of financial activity basically goes black, goes underground. And then you can’t tax transactions, you can’t track transactions. All you’ve got left to tax basically is possessions at that point and so you may see … property taxes going up and sales taxes disappearing.

Predictor: Brand, Stewart

Prediction, in context:

In an interview that aired on PBS-TV in 1995, Internet pioneer Stewart Brand said: ”If total public cryptography and lots of financial transactions come to the Net, will you pay taxes in the future? You won’t. This is one terrifying fantasy from the government standpoint. It may not be a fantasy, because if lots of transactions go onto the Net and they’re completely encrypted in a way that they can’t be tracked, a whole lot of financial activity basically goes black, goes underground. And then you can’t tax transactions, you can’t track transactions. All you’ve got left to tax basically is possessions at that point and so you may see … property taxes going up and sales taxes disappearing.”

Biography:

Stewart Brand founded Whole Earth ‘Lectronic Link (WELL) in 1985 with Larry Brilliant. This was one of the first and most intellectually active online “communities.” (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: June 15, 1995

Topic of prediction: Economic structures

Subtopic: Tax Issues

Name of publication: PBS-TV Interview in San Francisco

Title, headline, chapter name: High Stakes in Cyberspace

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/cyberspace/brand.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney