Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Within a year no serious candidate will be able to campaign without the Internet.

Predictor: Warren, Jim

Prediction, in context:

Reporter Deborah Baldwin interviewed Jim Warren for a 1994 article in Common Cause magazine. She writes: ”A different kind of electronic lobbying campaign unfolded in California last year, when Jim Warren, a retired computer entrepreneur, saw a way to make state legislation (both enacted and proposed) available online. Operating out of his home on a redwood-covered ridge 30 miles south of San Francisco, Warren posted a call to action to Internet users, who responded with enough mail to California lawmakers to move the necessary legislation forward … ‘There is a heavy push in the information online industry to privatize access to government records,’ Warren says, adding that until now an electronic copy of all California state statutes would have cost $200,000. Warren traces his politicization to 1990, when questions of privacy and government raids on computer hackers compelled a number of formerly apolitical computer mavens to get organized. ‘I actually believe that constitutional stuff,’ he says with a laugh when asked why he got involved. Warren predicts that within a year no serious candidate will be able to campaign without the Internet – something President Clinton clearly has taken to heart with the installation of a hook-up at the White House.”

Biography:

Jim Warren was the founding editor of Dr. Dobbs’ Journal, a publication about high-tech, and was the founder/organizer of the West Coast Computer Faire. He was active in networking in the 1980s and by 1992 had organized the First Computers, Freedom and Privacy Conference and set up the first online public dialogue link with the California legislature. When he won an EFF Pioneer Award in 1992, he was noted as being “instrumental in assuring that rights common to older mediums and technologies are extended to computer networking.” (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Global Relationships/Politics

Subtopic: Campaigns/Voting

Name of publication: Common Cause Magazine

Title, headline, chapter name: If This is the Information Superhighway, Where Are the Rest Stops?

Quote Type: Paraphrase

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=6bb2902898a52d79b267d142a1ee1117&_docnum=4&wchp=dGLbVtb-lSlzV&_md5=1deffb71b371e0594dffd3c2bd0c9685

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Walsh, Meghan