The question is not whether there will be fraud, but how bad do things have to get before people will stop using the system. The whole NII [National Information Infrastructure] community is going to feel the effects. Financial insitutions may get hit, small businesses that are providing a service may get ripped off and people working on their home computers may find that their information gets disclosed. If that happens, to some extent, people are going to say “Hey, this isn’t worth it, I’m not going to do this.” That is going to limit the kinds of services that are available on the NII.
Predictor: Katzke, Stuart
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for Infosecurity News, David Bernstein asks Stuart Katzke, a security expert with the National Institute of Standards and Technology, about the potential of fraud on the information superhighway. Katzke replies: ”The question is not whether there will be fraud, but how bad do things have to get before people will stop using the system. The whole NII [National Information Infrastructure] community is going to feel the effects. Financial insitutions may get hit, small businesses that are providing a service may get ripped off and people working on their home computers may find that their information gets disclosed. If that happens, to some extent, people are going to say ‘Hey, this isn’t worth it, I’m not going to do this.’ That is going to limit the kinds of services that are available on the NII.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues
Subtopic: Crime/Fraud/Terrorism
Name of publication: Infosecurity News
Title, headline, chapter name: Infohighway Security Viewpoints
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 18
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garrison, Betty