We’re going to have to come up with different policy models. The biggest long-range problem is how the Internet will be managed. Before, it was sort of an insiders’ club and there was no formal structure. The effort now is to try to promote the Internet Society [a nonprofit organization formed this January] as an overall umbrella to include the IAB as well as the IETF and the IRTF, both chartered by the IAB. By incorporating ourselves in the Internet Society, we want to formulate our independence.
Predictor: Chapin, Lyman
Prediction, in context:In a 1992 Network World article, Ellen Messmer interviews Lyman Chapin, chief network architect for BBN Communications Corp. and chairman of the Network Working Group’s Internet Activities Board. The IAB sets Internet standards and reviews the operations of two subsidiary groups, the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) and the Internet Research Task Force (IRTF). Messmer quotes Chapin saying: ”The most important issues are those associated with the success of the Internet. In size and extent, it has grown beyond what any of us envisioned 10 years ago. There is also the difficulty of management – there is a much broader group of interests using the network – and the issue of commercialization. The scope of interest in the Internet community is broader now and you can no longer manage it as you used to, by calling up a few graduate students. [With the Internet being used] by an enormous amount of people with business to conduct, we’re going to have to come up with different policy models. The biggest long-range problem is how the Internet will be managed. Before, it was sort of an insiders’ club and there was no formal structure. The effort now is to try to promote the Internet Society [a nonprofit organization formed this January] as an overall umbrella to include the IAB as well as the IETF and the IRTF, both chartered by the IAB. By incorporating ourselves in the Internet Society, we want to formulate our independence.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1992
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Network World
Title, headline, chapter name: Internet Architect Gives Long-Term View; Lyman Chapin, IAB Chairman, Highlights Critical Issues Involved in Running the World’s Largest Net
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 37
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne