Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Access fees must be changed if the New User is to be more than a sporadic user of the service … CATV provides the Internet with a viable and current option for expansion into high data rates and multimedia capability. Wireless communications services introduce new sets of technologies that will create a new local loop access paradigm … The new technologies allow dramatically lower capital costs per subscriber and also eliminate the scale and scope of economies in local access.

Predictor: McGarty, Terrence P.

Prediction, in context:

The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User'” by Terrence P. McGarty and Carole Haywood. McGarty is chairman and CEO of The Telemarc Group, Inc. and Haywood is with RAM Mobile Data Inc. They write: ”Access fees must be changed if the New User is to be more than a sporadic user of the service … CATV provides the Internet with a viable and current option for expansion into high data rates and multimedia capability. Wireless communications services introduce new sets of technologies that will create a new local loop access paradigm … The new technologies allow dramatically lower capital costs per subscriber and also eliminate the scale and scope of economies in local access.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Wireless Technologies

Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)

Title, headline, chapter name: Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User’

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Pages 251-255

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne