The prediction, in brief:

If low-cost, high-speed access becomes available, then the number of hosts may expand. A host per user, or even many hosts per user, is possible. The concept of a host may then have expanded to include the new and wider variety of electronic entities, including both physical and virtual devices. In addition, wireless access devices, Personal Digital Assistants, and distributed-processing devices must be integrated into the Internet design, since they will allow hosts to be portable and move from location to location. One must be able to “find”: the host, since it will roam around the network.

Predictor: McGarty, Terrence P.

Prediction, in context:

The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User'” by Terrence P. McGarty and Carole Haywood. McGarty is chairman and CEO of The Telemarc Group, Inc. and Haywood is with RAM Mobile Data Inc. They write:”If low-cost, high-speed access becomes available, then the number of hosts may expand. A host per user, or even many hosts per user, is possible. The concept of a host may then have expanded to include the new and wider variety of electronic entities, including both physical and virtual devices. In addition, wireless access devices, Personal Digital Assistants, and distributed-processing devices must be integrated into the Internet design, since they will allow hosts to be portable and move from location to location. One must be able to ‘find’ the host, since it will roam around the network.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)

Title, headline, chapter name: Internet Architectural and Policy Implications for Migration from High-End User to the ‘New User’

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 239

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne