Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

You want to be able to have a mechanism where you are downloading the audio on the fly and you’re storing up a sufficient amount of it so that it plays cleanly. The same is true of video, with fast-forward and rewind in video. These are things that require support on the server side. It’s going to get richer on both ends, and the protocols in the middle are going to have to get richer at the same time.

Predictor: Andreessen, Marc

Prediction, in context:

The following comes from an August 1995 interview between Marc Andreessen and Barry Phillips: ”On the server side there are all sorts of advances happening in how you can plug things in on the server back end. There’s going to be all kinds of advances that you need to do real-time data transfer from the server to the client. There’s a bunch of interesting things happening. For example, one of things that you find yourself doing is when you plug in something like Adobe Acrobat that can result in very large files you want interactivity. You may have a PDF representation of a 200-page manual and you want to jump to page 167. You won’t want to sit there while it downloads the first 4.5 Mbytes of the file before you get to the 20 kbytes that correspond to page 167. You want to be able to jump right to that byte range. That’s similar to the way you want to do streaming and buffered audio. You want to be able to have a mechanism where you are downloading the audio on the fly and you’re storing up a sufficient amount of it so that it plays cleanly. The same is true of video, with fast-forward and rewind in video. These are things that require support on the server side. It’s going to get richer on both ends, and the protocols in the middle are going to have to get richer at the same time.”

Biography:

Marc Andreessen worked with Eric Bina at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois in 1992, to develop a browser that would be usable on any computer, easy to use and graphically rich. In 1993, their browser, Mosaic, completely changed the face of the Internet Ð it allowed HTML “image” tags which make it so text and art can appear on the same page; it allowed easy text scrolling; and it introduced hyperlinks, allowing users to simply click on an area of the screen to go to another document on the Internet. In1994, Mosaic was developed and marketed; the product eventually was named Netscape. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: August 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Protocols

Title, headline, chapter name: Interview: Marc Andreessen

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.cc.ntnu.edu.tw/~t04002/marc.htm

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Allen, Patrick J.