ISDN isn’t inevitable because the phone companies haven’t been able to make it inevitable. I think 14.4 and 28.8 [modem speeds] are sufficient for some that things you want to do, and they are a practical constraint right now. I think all of us just can wait to be delivering 10 Mbit/s. You won’t have any multimedia problems then.
Predictor: Andreessen, Marc
Prediction, in context:The following comes from an August 1995 interview between Marc Andreessen and Barry Phillips. Andreessen says: ”ISDN isn’t inevitable because the phone companies haven’t been able to make it inevitable. I think 14.4 and 28.8 [modem speeds] are sufficient for some that things you want to do, and they are a practical constraint right now. I think all of us just can wait to be delivering 10 Mbit/s. You won’t have any multimedia problems then.”
Biography:Marc Andreessen worked with Eric Bina at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois in 1992, to develop a browser that would be usable on any computer, easy to use and graphically rich. In 1993, their browser, Mosaic, completely changed the face of the Internet Ð it allowed HTML “image” tags which make it so text and art can appear on the same page; it allowed easy text scrolling; and it introduced hyperlinks, allowing users to simply click on an area of the screen to go to another document on the Internet. In1994, Mosaic was developed and marketed; the product eventually was named Netscape. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: August 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Communication
Subtopic: Internet Telephony
Title, headline, chapter name: Interview: Marc Andreessen
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.cc.ntnu.edu.tw/~t04002/marc.htm
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Allen, Patrick J.