Nomadic personal computing devices seem certain to become ubiquitous as their prices drop and their capabilities increase … They will need a common protocol which can work over a variety of physical networks. These types of devices will become consumer devices and will replace the current generation of cellular phones, pagers, and personal digital assistants … The nature of nomadic computing requires an Internet protocol to have built-in authentication and confidentiality. It also goes without saying that these devices will need to communicate with the current generation of computers.
Predictor: Hinden, Robert
Prediction, in context:Robert M. Hinden made the following comments in a research presentation at INET ’95, the Internet Society’s 1995 International Networking Conference in Honolulu, Hawaii, June 27-30. He was presenting an overview of the Next Generation Internet Protocol (IPng), recommended by the IPng Area Directors of the Internet Engineering Task Force at the Toronto IETF meeting July 25, 1994. The recommendation was approved Nov. 17, 1994, by the Internet Engineering Steering Group and made a “proposed standard.” Hinden was director of software at Ipsilon Networks, Inc. of Mountain View, Calif., at the time. Hinden says: ”Nomadic personal computing devices seem certain to become ubiquitous as their prices drop and their capabilities increase. A key capability is that they will be networked. Unlike the majority of today’s networked computers, they will support a variety of types of network attachments … They will need a common protocol which can work over a variety of physical networks. These types of devices will become consumer devices and will replace the current generation of cellular phones, pagers, and personal digital assistants … The nature of nomadic computing requires an Internet protocol to have built-in authentication and confidentiality. It also goes without saying that these devices will need to communicate with the current generation of computers. The requirement for low overhead comes from the wireless media. Unlike LAN’s [Local-Area Networks] which will be very high-speed, the wireless media will be several orders of magnitude slower due to constraints on available frequencies, spectrum allocation, error rates, and power consumption.”
Date of prediction: June 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Wireless Technologies
Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)
Title, headline, chapter name: IP Next Generation Overview
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PAPER/PT1/html/paper.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney