Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

It has been suggested that numerous electronic devices (such as thermostats and stoves as well as devices explicitly intended for computing and communications) in homes and workplaces could be connected to networks. Some devices may be mobile, some stationary. Thus it is important to remember that names can be used to identify people, devices, locations, and groups.

Predictor: National Research Council

Prediction, in context:

In 1994, the NRENaissance Committee, appointed by the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board of the National Research Council, produced a special report titled “Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond.” Among the committee members were Internet pioneers Leonard Kleinrock, David Clark, David Farber, Lawrence Landweber and Robert Kahn. The committee’s goal was to “study issues raised by the shift to a larger, more truly national networking capability.” Among its statements about the blossoming of the National Information Infrastructure (NII), it says: ”It has been suggested that numerous electronic devices (such as thermostats and stoves as well as devices explicitly intended for computing and communications) in homes and workplaces could be connected to networks. Some devices may be mobile, some stationary. Thus it is important to remember that names can be used to identify people, devices, locations, and groups. The migration to a new address space will be a major upheaval that will affect users, network providers, and vendors. Unifying the various network communities, the Internet, the cable industry, and the telecommunications industry is an additional complex undertaking that will not happen unless there is a clear and explicit advantage. An effort to define a single overarching architecture is the only context in which this integration can be motivated. It will take careful consideration to plan and implement a scheme that properly resolves such major concerns as an appropriate addressing scheme, interim management actions, and migration plans. This implies that overarching architectural decisions for the NII, such as addressing, must be made in a context with an appropriate long-term vision and architectural overview.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Internet Appliances

Name of publication: Realizing the Information Future: The Internet and Beyond

Title, headline, chapter name: Issues of Scale in the National Information Infrastructure

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://stills.nap.edu/html/rtif/

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney