Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

As the number and scale of knowledge domains involved in a given CSCW [consumer -supported cooperative work] Web increases, so does the need for online interoperability.

Predictor: Engelbart, Douglas

Prediction, in context:

In a 1990 article presented at the Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work, Douglas Engelbart makes the following statements: ”The purpose of interoperability is to avoid having information islands between which information cannot flow effectively. Since we grew up in a paper-based framework, we’ve given little thought about how much exchange and interoperability support we really do have, and how much we depend upon it. To be interoperable in our CSPW [consumer-supported personal work] world we could simply print out and hand over the hard copy. With WYSIWYG [what you see is what you get] screens and desktop publishing, we’re doing that with nicer paper, faster. As we inevitably move from computer-supported paper generation and exchange to computer-supported online creation and exchange, we will need the same level of interoperability. And as the number and scale of knowledge domains involved in a given CSCW [consumer -supported cooperative work] ‘Web’ increases, so does the need for ‘online interoperability.'”

Biography:

Douglas Engelbart, the inventor of the computer mouse, spent 40 years predicting, designing and implementing the future of organizational computing. In 1962, while at the Stanford Research Institute, he produced the paper “Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” from which came the concepts of augmenting human intellect, improvement infrastructure, co-evolution of artifacts with social-cultural language-practices and bootstrapping. His Augmentation Research Center developed an array of important human-computer interface solutions, including hypermedia. In 1989 he co-founded the Bootstrap Institute, a non-profit organization “in a quest to form strategic alliances aimed at improving organizations and society at large.” (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: June 1, 1990

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Proceedings of the Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work

Title, headline, chapter name: Knowledge-Domain Interoperability and an Open Hyperdocument System

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.bootstrap.org/augment/AUGMENT/132082.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam