Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Web servers may add features to support online communities in the future and come to be a valuable part of online community. At that point they will no longer be Web servers as we know them today, but a kind of bulletin board software system.

Predictor: Rose, Lance

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 essay for ISPworld, Internet law expert Lance Rose comments about the expected crush of newbies on the Net and how they will influence Internet activity. Rose writes: ”Where will people go if we have a public Net that’s too noisy, or too regulated or both at the same time? Private online services, that’s where. You pays your money and you gets your low netnoise floor that permits quiet, contemplative discussions among the intelligentsia. What kinds of services? The ones you already know, of course: Prodigy, CompuServe and America Online, as well as the smaller services and tens of thousands of computer bulletin boards. They will readily attract noise-weary Net users like bees to honey once they become readily available via telnet … The celebrated Web servers don’t figure big here, since the World Wide Web today is principally a publishing platform for multimedia magazines. Web servers may add features to support online communities in the future and come to be a valuable part of online community. At that point they will no longer be Web servers as we know them today, but a kind of bulletin board software system.”

Biography:

Lance Rose, a lawyer, earned a high profile for his expertise in Internet issues in the 1990s. He wrote “Netlaw: Your Rights in the Online World” (1995). (Legislator/Politician/Lawyer.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Community/Culture

Subtopic: Virtual Communities

Name of publication: ISPworld

Title, headline, chapter name: Legally Online: Noise and the Public Net

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.boardwatch.com/boardwatchOnline/1995/jan95/bwm44.htm

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Smoot, Barry