Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

A key role of the NII must be to provide this service. Creating a data networking environment as ubiquitous and seamless as the telephone network is a critical first step to achieving the promised benefits of the NII … The critical issue facing us now is how to extend Internet access to small users – how to extend the Internet beyond its traditional institutional user community, into small offices and homes … Basic, universal, small-user Internet service should be the same service that larger institutional users already receive: A 24-hour, high-speed, IP (Internet Protocol) “wall plug” at a flat price under $100 per month.

Predictor: Fidelman, Miles

Prediction, in context:

The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “Models for the Internet Local Loop” by Miles Fidelman, president of the Center for Civic Networking, a non-profit organization dedicated to the application of information infrastructure to community and economic development. He writes: ”The NII promised to take corporate and industry-wide networking the next logical step: to ubiquitous networking that reaches every office and home in the nation. As our economy moves toward increasing interorganization cooperation – joint ventures, virtual corporations, just-in-time inventory, etc. – the need for interorganization enterprise networking is becoming acute. A key role of the NII must be to provide this service. Creating a data networking environment as ubiquitous and seamless as the telephone network is a critical first step to achieving the promised benefits of the NII: electronic exchange of manufacturing data, streamlined delivery of government services, improved education and job training, simplified health care administration, new markets for information services and technology, telecommuting, etc … The critical issue facing us now is how to extend Internet access to small users – how to extend the Internet beyond its traditional institutional user community, into small offices and homes … Most schools, libraries, and municipal offices have needs similar to smaller businesses. Residential service is as important as small business service. Home-based businesses are one of the fastest-growing segments of the economy. Home service is also required to support telecommuting … Homes are also likely sites for use of distance-learning services that can help maintain and upgrade both basic and professional skills … Basic, universal, small-user Internet service should be the same service that larger institutional users already receive: A 24-hour, high-speed, IP (Internet Protocol) ‘wall plug’ at a flat price under $100 per month.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)

Title, headline, chapter name: Models for the Internet Local Loop

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Pages 224-226

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne