Users will begin to demand better privacy measures and user-authentication. The Internet will increasingly be used to sell information … That will first take solving intellectual property issues such as how to keep someone from making an unlimited number of copies of a copyrighted document.
Predictor: Cerf, Vinton G.
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for Network World, Adam Gaffin talks with Internet pioneer Vinton Cerf just before he and a group of other Internet founders met for a gathering to celebrate the 25th anniversary of their invention. Gaffin writes:”Users will begin to demand better privacy measures and user-authentication, Cerf explained. He predicted the Internet will increasingly be used to sell information, although he acknowledged that will first take solving intellectual property issues such as how to keep someone from making an unlimited number of copies of a copyrighted document.”
Biography:Vinton G. Cerf was one of the key figures in the Internet Society in the 1990s. He earlier worked with C.S. Carr and Steve Crocker to publish the first ARPANET host-host protocol in 1970. In 1972, he was appointed first chair of International Network Working Group which was initiated to establish common technical standards to enable any computer to connect to the ARPANET. In 1973, he doodled the basic architecture of an Internet on the back of an envelope in a hotel lobby in San Francisco; also in 1973, he presented basic Internet ideas with Robert Kahn at an International Network Working Group gathering. In 1974, he published (with Bob Kahn) a paper on Packet Network interconnection that details the design of a Transmission Control Program (TCP). Also in 1974, he published the first technical specification of TCP/IP with Stanford graduate students Yogen Dalal and Carl Sunshine. In 1999, he served as the first chair of the Internet Societal Task Force, formed by ISOC. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: August 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Network World
Title, headline, chapter name: Net Pioneers See No End to Their Grand Experiment; But Global Net Faces Political, Technical Tests
Quote Type: Paraphrase
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Section: Top News; 25 Arpanet/Internet; Page 1
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney