Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

We are vastly underrepresented in areas such as poor people, industrial workers, housewives, young children, policy makers and senior professionals. We need to find effective means to outreach to all these groups and more.

Predictor: Crocker, Steve

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article in Computerworld, writer J.C. Herz interviews Steve Crocker. The article is actually an excerpt from a book by Herz titled “Surfing on the Internet.” Herz writes: ”We have on our hands what Steve Crocker, an armchair Net sociologist at Youngstown State University, calls a ‘human bandwidth problem.’ The hardware is whirring away just fine (for now), but the danger of human overload is more serious. ‘A limiting factor in the usefulness of the Net to individuals is the inability of a person to read more than a minute fraction of even the news they are actually interested in,’ Crocker says. ‘I think we all have wished that the Net were more universal. We are vastly underrepresented in areas such as poor people, industrial workers, housewives, young children, policy makers and senior professionals. We need to find effective means to outreach to all these groups and more.'”

Biography:

Steve Crocker was probably best known in the 1990s as the founder of CyberCash Inc. a leading Internet payments company. Earlier, he was program manager on the team developing the protocols for ARPANET in 1966. In1968, he organized the Network Working Group to develop host-level protocols for ARPANET communication. He began the Request for Comment (RFC) series of notes through which Internet protocol designs are documented and shared, and he wrote RFC 1 and many others. In1970, he worked with Vinton Cerf and C.S. Carr to publish the first ARPANET host-host protocol. He later became known as an Internet and computer business and security specialist. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Digital Divide

Name of publication: Computerworld

Title, headline, chapter name: Newbie Bashing

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=f329ce1feefed32b7369934ff3777189&_docnum=1&wchp=dGLbVlz-lSlAl&_md5=796a7047a90430e8bcc3fe607877ec00

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Culp, William Jarrell