Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Networks that enable businesses to conduct electronic commerce via e-mail over public networks … When a trading partner on its open network identifies itself through its public key, some central authority has to certify its authenticity. One possible CA is the U.S. Postal Service, but VISA International and RSA Data Security also want to become the accepted CA … When a CA has indeed been designated, EDI over the Internet will begin to reach critical mass, and that could happen in 1996.

Predictor: Jenkins, Lew

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article in Datamation, Lew Jenkins, chairman of Premenos, a provider of EDI software, predicts the future for EDI (Electronic Data Interchange) (1995-1996) transactions on the Internet. Datamation’s editors paraphrase what Jenkins says: ”Lew Jenkins … has been busy promoting Open EDI – networks that enable businesses to conduct electronic commerce via e-mail over public networks without some of the constraints implied by traditional EDI. [He said that by] 1996, the industry will create what is called a Certifying Authority (CA) Ð one that matches trading partners with a specific public key. When a trading partner on its open network identifies itself through its public key, some central authority has to certify its authenticity. One possible CA is the U.S. Postal Service, but VISA International and RSA Data Security also want to become the accepted CA. Jenkins believes that when a CA has indeed been designated, EDI over the Internet will begin to reach critical mass, and that could happen in 1996.”

Date of prediction: December 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: Security/Encryption

Name of publication: Datamation

Title, headline, chapter name: One, Two, and Three

Quote Type: Paraphrase

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
pg 17

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garrison, Betty