Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Every family will have its own mailing list carrying contributions from its members. At that point – actually long before it – we will have to triage our mail still further. While I have had to do very little of this so far, I sense that the rules will be something like this: friends over strangers; family over friends; and within those categories, the geographically or chronologically close over the distant. Those most likely to survive the second cut are longtime friends who live nearby.

Predictor: Hapgood, Fred

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for Wired magazine, Fred Hapgood, a science and technology writer based in Boston, writes: ”I don’t doubt that in time every family will have its own mailing list carrying contributions from its members. At that point – actually long before it – we will have to triage our mail still further. While I have had to do very little of this so far, I sense that the rules will be something like this: friends over strangers; family over friends; and within those categories, the geographically or chronologically close over the distant. Those most likely to survive the second cut are longtime friends who live nearby. Messages from someone I am likely to meet physically in the near future have the highest priority of all (among social relations).”

Biography:

Fred Hapgood took on the role of moderator of the Nanosystems Interest Group at MIT and wrote a number of articles for Wired and other tech publications of the early 1990s. (Author/Editor/Journalist.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Communication

Subtopic: E-mail

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: Persistence of Locality

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/2.12/hapgood.if_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney