Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Setters of standards and developers of products must be linked by shared expectations for how the NII will evolve … Government has a role in fostering a greater degree of openness and interoperability than may otherwise emerge in a timely manner from industry-driven efforts.

Predictor: Kleinrock, Leonard

Prediction, in context:

In a May 26, 1994, statement before the House Subcommittee on Technology, Environment and Aviation, Leonard Kleinrock says his NRENaissance Committee of the National Research Council recommends a dual role of government and industry: ”Why are interoperability standards for the NII important? What is the proper role of government and industry in developing interoperability standards for the NII? A National Information Infrastructure will involve both heterogeneous systems and decentralization in the building and operation of different regions or components. Without a framework for interaction and some degree of standardization, interoperability will not be possible … Setters of standards and developers of products must be linked by shared expectations for how the NII will evolve … although the Internet has thrived on bottom-up standard setting, and although those processes have contributed to the vitality and competitiveness of U.S. computing and communications industries, questions arise about the need for some kind of balance between bottom-up and top-down approaches. In this context, it appears that government has a role in fostering a greater degree of openness and interoperability than may otherwise emerge in a timely manner from industry-driven efforts.”

Biography:

Leonard Kleinrock published the first paper on packet-switching theory in the RLE Quarterly Progress Report while at MIT in 1961. He established the Network Measurement Center at UCLA and worked in the area of digital networks. He also published a comprehensive look at digital networks in his book “Communication Nets.” He developed the ARPANET network with Lawrence Roberts. In 1969, Kleinrock’s NMC team connected an SDS Sigma 7 computer to an Interface Messenger Processor, creating the first node on the ARPANET, the first computer to connect to the Internet. Kleinrock’s team used the early system to iron out the initial design and performance issues on the world’s first packet-switched network. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: May 26, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Role of Govt./Industry

Name of publication: Federal News Service

Title, headline, chapter name: Prepared Statement of Leonard Kleinrock, Chairman of the NRENaissance Committee, Computer Science and Telecommunications Board, National Research Council, Before the U.S. House Subcommittee on Technology, Environment and Aviation

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Section: In The News

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Krout, Kevin M.