Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Continued research in networking and expansion of the research effort into areas more specific to information infrastructure are … essential and should be a federal priority. Research can contribute to architecture, to new concepts for network services, and to new principles and designs in key areas such as security, scale and evolvability. In addition, research can contribute to the lowering of the costs for implementing more general and flexible technologies.

Predictor: Kleinrock, Leonard

Prediction, in context:

In a May 26, 1994, statement before the House Subcommittee on Technology, Environment and Aviation, Leonard Kleinrock says his NRENaissance Committee of the National Research Council recommends a dual role of government and industry: ”The United States has a significant but shrinking lead in networking and information infrastructure. Technical challenges remain in networking alone, and the broader set of social and economic benefits sought from an NII [National Information Infrastructure], the broader the corresponding technical needs. Continued research in networking and expansion of the research effort into areas more specific to information infrastructure are … essential and should be a federal priority. Research can contribute to architecture, to new concepts for network services, and to new principles and designs in key areas such as security, scale and evolvability. In addition, research can contribute to the lowering of the costs for implementing more general and flexible technologies. The committee recommends that the National Science Foundation, along with the Advanced Research Projects Agency, other Department of Defense research agencies, the Department of Energy, and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, continue and in fact expand a strategic program of research in networks, with attention to emerging issues at the higher levels of an Open Data Network architecture, in addition to research at the lower levels of the architecture.”

Biography:

Leonard Kleinrock published the first paper on packet-switching theory in the RLE Quarterly Progress Report while at MIT in 1961. He established the Network Measurement Center at UCLA and worked in the area of digital networks. He also published a comprehensive look at digital networks in his book “Communication Nets.” He developed the ARPANET network with Lawrence Roberts. In 1969, Kleinrock’s NMC team connected an SDS Sigma 7 computer to an Interface Messenger Processor, creating the first node on the ARPANET, the first computer to connect to the Internet. Kleinrock’s team used the early system to iron out the initial design and performance issues on the world’s first packet-switched network. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: May 26, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Federal News Service

Title, headline, chapter name: Prepared Statement of Leonard Kleinrock, Chairman of the NRENaissance Committee, Computer Science and Telecommunications Board, National Research Council, Before the U.S. House Subcommittee on Technology, Environment and Aviation

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Section: In the News

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Krout, Kevin M.