Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

As the Internet matures, I expect to see a lot of the same kind of specialization occurring as we have in print. We’ll come to recognize that the roles of author, publisher, manufacturer, distributor and retailer need not be rolled up into the same package.

Predictor: O'Reilly, Tim

Prediction, in context:

In a paper presented by Tim O’Reilly at INET ’95, a conference sponsored by the Internet Society in Honolulu, Hawaii, June 27-30, the publisher outlines his ideas about the future of Internet publishing: ”Right now, everyone is trying to do it all on the Net: provide software, connectivity, content, transaction support, data warehousing, you name it. As the Internet matures, I expect to see a lot of the same kind of specialization occurring as we have in print. We’ll come to recognize that the roles of author, publisher, manufacturer, distributor and retailer need not be rolled up into the same package.”

Biography:

Tim O’Reilly was founder and first president of O’Reilly & Associates, a computer-book-publishing company that helped popularize the Internet in the decade of the 1990s. His Global Network Navigator site (GNN, which was sold to America Online in September 1995) was the first Web portal and one of the initial commercial sites on the World Wide Web. He received InfoWorld’s Industry Achievement Award in 1998 for his advocacy on behalf of the Open Source community. He served on the board of trustees for the Internet Society and the Electronic Frontier Foundation. (Entrepreneur/Business Leader.)

Date of prediction: June 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Economic structures

Subtopic: E-commerce

Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)

Title, headline, chapter name: Publishing Models for Internet Commerce

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PAPER/063/html/paper.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Schmidt, Nicholas