Commercial online services … will retain a major role as organizers of distribution – a newsstand, if you will, from which readers will select many popular forms of online content.
Predictor: O'Reilly, Tim
Prediction, in context:In a paper presented by Tim O’Reilly at INET ’95, a conference sponsored by the Internet Society in Honolulu, Hawaii, June 27-30, the publisher outlines his ideas about the future of Internet publishing: ”Publishing shows us not the role of the gatekeeper (who allows only certain content to be published), but of adviser, whether that adviser is a trusted columnist or reviewer in a newspaper, or a trusted clerk at the local bookseller. Understanding this role will be important to the future of commercial online services. They currently provide several services rolled into one: online access, content, and billing. As online access becomes a commodity, they will compete there with a host of Internet-only providers; on the pure network distribution layer, they may all give way to the telephone companies, for whom they are currently resellers. But they will retain a major role as organizers of distribution – a newsstand, if you will, from which readers will select many popular forms of online content.”
Biography:Tim O’Reilly was founder and first president of O’Reilly & Associates, a computer-book-publishing company that helped popularize the Internet in the decade of the 1990s. His Global Network Navigator site (GNN, which was sold to America Online in September 1995) was the first Web portal and one of the initial commercial sites on the World Wide Web. He received InfoWorld’s Industry Achievement Award in 1998 for his advocacy on behalf of the Open Source community. He served on the board of trustees for the Internet Society and the Electronic Frontier Foundation. (Entrepreneur/Business Leader.)
Date of prediction: June 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Economic structures
Subtopic: E-commerce
Name of publication: ISOC INET '95 (conference)
Title, headline, chapter name: Publishing Models for Internet Commerce
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.isoc.org/HMP/PAPER/063/html/paper.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Schmidt, Nicholas