Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

We need a strategy for handling growth. The direction we choose depends upon what we think the shape of the future Internet will be. But choosing a direction for inter-AD routing may in fact partially determine the shape of the Internet.

Predictor: Clark, David D.

Prediction, in context:

In the minutes of the Internet Architecture Board meeting held June 28-29, 1990, at Bolt, Beranek & Newman in Cambridge, Mass., the members who recorded and edited the record of the proceedings write: ”As the Internet expands, there will be a fundamental stress between the differing requirements of the multiple government agency networks and the commercial networks. The two broad strategies for dealing with this mixed use are to: A. Impose policy, or B. Impose topology ”Those who believe in imposing policy say topology cannot fundamentally be changed, and that the networks will become increasingly interconnected. Those who believe in imposing topology, e.g., operational mission folks, do not believe policy control will be sufficient; they perceive a need to protect assets by topological construction. The conflict fundamentally is resource protection vs. resource allocation. We need a strategy for handling growth. The direction we choose depends upon what we think the shape of the future Internet will be. But choosing a direction for inter-AD routing may in fact partially determine the shape of the Internet.”

Biography:

David D. Clark was a senior research scientist at MIT’s Laboratory for Computer Science. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: June 1, 1990

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Role of Govt./Industry

Name of publication: Internet Architecture Board Minutes, June 28-29, 1990

Title, headline, chapter name: Routing

Quote Type: Paraphrase

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.iab.org/IABmins/IABmins.1990-06-28.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Culp, William Jarrell