All personal computers in the future will be equipped with small video cameras, much as each computer today has a mouse. At the same time, the capacity of the communication links connecting personal computers to the Internet will greatly expand, due to replacement of twisted-pair copper telephone wires with fiber-optic cables. These two trends will allow Internet users to compose messages consisting of compressed full-motion, color video images of themselves speaking.
Predictor: Swett, Charles
Prediction, in context:In his 1994 report for the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low-Intensity Conflict, Charles Swett, assistant for strategic assessment, makes the following statement in regard to policy planning:”As a result of reductions in the size and cost of high-quality video cameras and improvements in video-data-compression technology, all personal computers in the future will be equipped with small video cameras, much as each computer today has a mouse. At the same time, the capacity of the communication links connecting personal computers to the Internet will greatly expand, due to replacement of twisted-pair copper telephone wires with fiber-optic cables. These two trends will allow Internet users to compose messages consisting of compressed full-motion, color video images of themselves speaking.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Strategic Assessment
Title, headline, chapter name: Strategic Assessment: The Internet
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.fas.org/cp/swett.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Jagrup, Shavanna