Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Take that convergence of the computer and the television, a coalescing of technologies that should allow us to shunt around all those movies, spreadsheets, video shots, and “picture” telephone calls on one screen. “It’s a bit like talking about the convergence of the horseless carriage and the modern automobile,” says Grove. “The proper word is replacement. The computer is taking over the television.”

Predictor: Grove, Andy

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article in The Observer, Robin McKie talks with Intel CEO Andy Grove. She writes: ”There is a flutter on the wires these days. Information superhighways, the convergence of computers and televisions, movies piped into homes via the phone – a veritable avalanche of electronic ideas compete for attention and investment. These concepts, it is said, will soon create a brave new world in which data, images and words will be stored and interchanged across the ether like jets passing through Heathrow on a bank holiday … Unfortunately, the first draft has yet to convince Andy Grove … He sees the storyline developing in a very different direction. Take that convergence of the computer and the television, a coalescing of technologies that should allow us to shunt around all those movies, spreadsheets, video shots, and ‘picture’ telephone calls on one screen. ‘It’s a bit like talking about the convergence of the horseless carriage and the modern automobile,’ says Grove. ‘The proper word is replacement. The computer is taking over the television.’ And information superhighways? ‘It’s my aim to avoid mentioning that phrase,’ was his only cryptic response.”

Date of prediction: March 13, 1994

Topic of prediction: Community/Culture

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Observer (UK)

Title, headline, chapter name: Superhighway or Dead End?

Quote Type: Partial quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
The Observer Business Page; Page 5 / http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=55d49bb0ea7b9bd36a8e3cf4def77ff7&_docnum=67&wchp=dGLbVtb-lSlzV&_md5=00e258d875793248f4d9b34a6a5273a2

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam