I don’t doubt that the next Gates will eventually appear, and the Internet may fuel her rise, but it’s one hell of a tough act to follow.
Predictor: Myhrvold, Nathan
Prediction, in context:John Murphey included the following in his online column Tech Track, a compilation of technology-related items regularly summarized from magazine and newspaper articles. It is a direct quotation of Microsoft vice president Nathan Myhrvold’s Oct. 9, 1995, response in Forbes ASAP to an earlier Forbes ASAP column written by George Gilder that claimed, among other things, that Marc Andreessen, will be bigger than Bill Gates in the Internet World: ”Writing great software and founding a company is a first step, but that only matches Bill Gates circa 1976. The secret that made the Bill Gates of 1995 is to have the technical and business skills to develop new product lines repeatedly … I don’t doubt that the next Gates will eventually appear, and the Internet may fuel her rise, but it’s one hell of a tough act to follow.”
Biography:Nathan Myhrvold worked at Microsoft Corporation as chief technology officer in the 1990s. Myhrvold was responsible for the Advanced Technology and Research Group, which had a budget of over $2 billion per year. Earlier, he was group vice president of Applications and Content, which included a number of Microsoft divisions, including Desktop Applications, Consumer, Research and Microsoft On Line Systems. (Technology Developer/Administrator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: General, Overarching Remarks
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Monroe Street Journal
Title, headline, chapter name: Tech Track
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.umich.edu/~msjrnl/backmsj/111395/techtrack.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Allen, Patrick J.