Electronic publishers will survive as providers of capacity for online service and as editorial quality-control filters, as in the print medium. It wouldn’t surprise me a bit to find people putting up servers for third-party information … Building free and compensated information services into the Internet is an important aspect of making the Internet an effective business and information tool.
Predictor: Cerf, Vinton G.
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for Wired magazine, Steve Cisler a library scientist for Apple Computer interviews Internet pioneer and Internet Society president Vinton Cerf. Cerf tells Cisler: ”Electronic publishers will survive as providers of capacity for online service and as editorial quality-control filters, as in the print medium. It wouldn’t surprise me a bit to find people putting up servers for third-party information. That’s no different than what CompuServe does … New methods for capturing transaction data and providing compensation for information are under consideration in the Internet community on an experimental or pilot basis. Many publishers are starting to experiment with delivery of information on the Internet on a compensated basis. Of course, CompuServe, America Online, and Prodigy, to name three, are examples of services that provide access to information for a price. Building free and compensated information services into the Internet is an important aspect of making the Internet an effective business and information tool.”
Biography:Vinton G. Cerf was one of the key figures in the Internet Society in the 1990s. He earlier worked with C.S. Carr and Steve Crocker to publish the first ARPANET host-host protocol in 1970. In 1972, he was appointed first chair of International Network Working Group which was initiated to establish common technical standards to enable any computer to connect to the ARPANET. In 1973, he doodled the basic architecture of an Internet on the back of an envelope in a hotel lobby in San Francisco; also in 1973, he presented basic Internet ideas with Robert Kahn at an International Network Working Group gathering. In 1974, he published (with Bob Kahn) a paper on Packet Network interconnection that details the design of a Transmission Control Program (TCP). Also in 1974, he published the first technical specification of TCP/IP with Stanford graduate students Yogen Dalal and Carl Sunshine. In 1999, he served as the first chair of the Internet Societal Task Force, formed by ISOC. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: Publishing
Name of publication: Wired
Title, headline, chapter name: The Creators: Twenty-five Years Ago, They Brought the Internet to Life
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/2.12/creators_pr.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney