Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

I have been thinking about new architectural features for the Internet that allow a kind of semipermeable membrane that lets the company put some of its assets in a private setting, so that they’re only accessible to other parts of the company or some discretionarily selected group. We still have to find ways of distinguishing between access points.

Predictor: Cerf, Vinton G.

Prediction, in context:

In a 1994 article for Wired magazine, Steve Cisler a library scientist for Apple Computer interviews Internet pioneer and Internet Society president Vinton Cerf. Cerf tells Cisler: ”More than 50 percent of registered networks are on the Internet and the rest are private. They have concerns about protecting, broadly speaking, all of the assets that their host companies had on their internal network. Recently I have been thinking about new architectural features for the Internet that allow a kind of semipermeable membrane that lets the company put some of its assets in a private setting, so that they’re only accessible to other parts of the company or some discretionarily selected group. We still have to find ways of distinguishing between access points.”

Biography:

Vinton G. Cerf was one of the key figures in the Internet Society in the 1990s. He earlier worked with C.S. Carr and Steve Crocker to publish the first ARPANET host-host protocol in 1970. In 1972, he was appointed first chair of International Network Working Group which was initiated to establish common technical standards to enable any computer to connect to the ARPANET. In 1973, he doodled the basic architecture of an Internet on the back of an envelope in a hotel lobby in San Francisco; also in 1973, he presented basic Internet ideas with Robert Kahn at an International Network Working Group gathering. In 1974, he published (with Bob Kahn) a paper on Packet Network interconnection that details the design of a Transmission Control Program (TCP). Also in 1974, he published the first technical specification of TCP/IP with Stanford graduate students Yogen Dalal and Carl Sunshine. In 1999, he served as the first chair of the Internet Societal Task Force, formed by ISOC. (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: The Creators: Twenty-five Years Ago, They Brought the Internet to Life

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/2.12/creators_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney