Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Each of us can now perform widespread copyright infringement without getting caught, if we’re careful. However, none of this will make a hair’s breadth of difference to most of those who wish to sell copyrighted goods in the electronic age because the traditional copyright system is fully Net-capable. We may eventually see a societal move away from information hoarding, but it will not happen because copyright law does not work. There will simply be more money in helping people use information than in metering the stuff out.

Predictor: Rose, Lance

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for Wired magazine, attorney and writer Lance Rose comments on copyright issues on the Internet. Rose writes. ”Each of us can now perform widespread copyright infringement without getting caught, if we’re careful. However, none of this will make a hair’s breadth of difference to most of those who wish to sell copyrighted goods in the electronic age because the traditional copyright system is fully Net-capable. We may eventually see a societal move away from information hoarding, but it will not happen because copyright law does not work. There will simply be more money in helping people use information than in metering the stuff out.”

Biography:

Lance Rose, a lawyer, earned a high profile for his expertise in Internet issues in the 1990s. He wrote “Netlaw: Your Rights in the Online World” (1995). (Legislator/Politician/Lawyer.)

Date of prediction: January 1, 1994

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism

Name of publication: Wired

Title, headline, chapter name: The Emperor’s Clothes Still Fit Just Fine

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/3.02/rose.if_pr.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney