Our belief is that the process of providing electronic editions of the news would take off by 1995. Compare it to how TV got started in the early 1940s … with just a few sets and limited programming until more and more people started to get them.’ He predicts that this electronic newspaper will not become fully competitive with print media until about 2010.
Predictor: Fidler, Roger
Prediction, in context:In a 1993 article for American Journalism Review, Kate McKenna reports on how the newspaper industry plans to get involved in the age of computer networks, interviewing Roger Fidler of Knight-Ridder. McKenna writes:”Knight-Ridder’s Information Design Laboratory in Boulder, Colorado, is designing a hand-held, flat panel that will display an electronic image with the identity and characteristics of a local newspaper, including all the articles that appeared that day as well as access to the paper’s archives. It will have the capability of being continually updated, and will offer full-motion and full-color video at the touch of a fingertip … Knight-Ridder’s Roger Fidler is planning to begin marketing the flat panel in two years. The first models will perform a variety of personal computing tasks and will run a few programs. ‘Our belief is that the process of providing electronic editions of the news would take off by 1995,’ says Fidler, who cautions that market penetration will be slow. ‘Compare it to how TV got started in the early 1940s … with just a few sets and limited programming until more and more people started to get them.’ He predicts that this electronic newspaper will not become fully competitive with print media until about 2010.'”
Date of prediction: October 1, 1993
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: Journalism/Media
Name of publication: American Journalism Review
Title, headline, chapter name: The Future is Now: Newspapers Are Overcoming Their Fears of Technology and Launching a Wide Array of Electronic Products
Quote Type: Partial quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Volume 15, Issue 8, Page 16
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney