Cable TV services with 500 or more channels are just too much for a printed guide to describe in any kind of usable format. Instead of scanning TV listings, users will have to start using a combination of search methods and agent-based program recommendations.
Predictor: Nielsen, Jakob
Prediction, in context:Technology development and design guru Jakob Nielsen shares his views in “The Future of Hypertext,” in 1995. He writes:”TV guides will … move from print to hypermedia … cable TV services with 500 or more channels are just too much for a printed guide to describe in any kind of usable format. Instead of scanning TV listings, users will have to start using a combination of search methods and agent-based program recommendations.”
Biography:Jakob Nielsen labeled himself as an “Internet User Advocate” and built a reputation as a speaker and writer in that area. He co-founded the Nielsen Norman Group with Donald A. Norman (a former VP of research at Apple Computer). In the early 1990s, he was an engineer at Sun Microsystems. He invented and patented a number of Internet usability methods. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)
Date of prediction: February 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information
Subtopic: Intelligent Agents/AI
Name of publication: Multimedia and Hypertext: The Internet and Beyond
Title, headline, chapter name: The Future of Hypertext
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.useit.com/papers/hypertextfuture.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney