I expect major changes in the way intellectual property rights (e.g., copyright) are handled. These changes really ought to happen within my short-term time frame since they are sorely needed, but realistically speaking, changes in the legal system always trail technological changes, so I don’t expect major changes until the year 2000.
Predictor: Nielsen, Jakob
Prediction, in context:Technology development and design guru Jakob Nielsen shares his views in “The Future of Hypertext,” in 1995. He writes: ”I expect major changes in the way intellectual property rights (e.g., copyright) are handled. These changes really ought to happen within my short-term time frame since they are sorely needed, but realistically speaking, changes in the legal system always trail technological changes, so I don’t expect major changes until the year 2000.”
Biography:Jakob Nielsen labeled himself as an “Internet User Advocate” and built a reputation as a speaker and writer in that area. He co-founded the Nielsen Norman Group with Donald A. Norman (a former VP of research at Apple Computer). In the early 1990s, he was an engineer at Sun Microsystems. He invented and patented a number of Internet usability methods. (Research Scientist/Illuminator.)
Date of prediction: February 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues
Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism
Name of publication: Multimedia and Hypertext: The Internet and Beyond
Title, headline, chapter name: The Future of Hypertext
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.useit.com/papers/hypertextfuture.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Stotler, Larry