The Internet will be upgraded to ATM (Asynchronous Transfer Mode) as the base network to support the increased bandwidth. TodayÕs voice net supports 600 G bits, and the nationÕs data net will grow to 3,000 G bits by 2020. Putting ATM under the Internet is very easy due to layered protocols and will be done within two years.
Predictor: Roberts, Lawrence G.
Prediction, in context:The 1995 book “The Information Revolution,” edited by Donald Altschiller, carries a reprint of a 1994 Computerworld article ÒThe History of the Future,Ó by senior editor Gary H. Anthes. Anthes interviewed more than a dozen pioneers of ARPAnet, forerunner to todayÕs Internet, including Lawrence G. Roberts, president of ATM Systems a division of Connectware, managed development of the ARPAnet at Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) in the late 1960s and early 1970s. Anthes quotes Roberts saying: ÒThe Internet will be upgraded to ATM (Asynchronous Transfer Mode) as the base network to support the increased bandwidth. TodayÕs voice net supports 600 G bits, and the nationÕs data net will grow to 3,000 G bits by 2020. Putting ATM under the Internet is very easy due to layered protocols and will be done within two years.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Bandwidth
Name of publication: The Information Revolution (book)
Title, headline, chapter name: The History of the Future
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 40
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne