The price/performance gains of modems, the entry of the Internet into popular culture heralded by the July 1994 cover of Time Magazine, new services such as Mosaic, and the emergence of new private service providers around the country will all be contributing factors to continued rapid growth.
Predictor: Civille, Richard
Prediction, in context:The 1995 book “Public Access to the Internet,” edited by Brian Kahin and James Keller carries the chapter, “The Internet and the Poor” by Richard Civille, executive director of the Center for Civic Networking, a non-profit organization dedicated to the application of information infrastructure to community and economic development. He writes: ”Applying the Internet growth coefficient to the total figure of 29.9 million individuals who used networked information services either from work or at home is quite striking. An 81 percent growth rate over two years would result in 96.9 million users by October, 1995. Such numbers may seem impossibly high. Yet the Internet is the precursor to the National Information Infrastructure … An increasing number of previously independent computer networks are interconnecting to the Internet. And, increasingly, media and communications industries are merging into this broader infrastructure as well. The price/performance gains of modems, the entry of the Internet into popular culture heralded by the July 1994 cover of Time Magazine, new services such as Mosaic, and the emergence of new private service providers around the country will all be contributing factors to continued rapid growth.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1995
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Number of Users
Name of publication: Public Access to the Internet (book)
Title, headline, chapter name: The Internet and the Poor
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 180
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne