The prediction, in brief:

I think technology costs are dropping fast enough that [mobile access to the Internet] isn’t out of the question in 10 to 15 years, maybe sooner.

Predictor: Cerf, Vinton G.

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 Information Week article, Vinton Cerf discusses what needs to happen before the Internet becomes an everyday household appplication in regard to mobile access:”I think technology costs are dropping fast enough that [mobile access to the Internet] isn’t out of the question in 10 to 15 years, maybe sooner. For instance, watch how quickly cellular telephone service is spreading in developing countries where wireless services have been slow to emerge. PCs and LANs are rapidly absorbed in these countries since they’re easy to install and apply locally.” 

Date of prediction: July 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Wireless Technologies

Name of publication: Information Week

Title, headline, chapter name: The Internet – Where’s It All Going?

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=b83c10508e19ffbee2b32765ce099c64&_docnum=13&wchp=dGLbVlz-lSlAl&_md5=c019c9e4607b692c5d94a18a96d58bde

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Bruno, Marian Theresa