My real hopes for the next few years are solutions to the outstanding technical, procedural and political bottlenecks standing in the way of true Internet growth … Bandwidth to the user remains the ultimate bottleneck for Internet or any more-than-ASCII interactive use … Whether data-over-cable will materialize remains to be seen; my crystal ball tersely suggests “technical support, security and assured bandwidth problems remain nontrivial.”
Predictor: Dern, Daniel
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article, Network Computing writer, Daniel Dern reports on how the Internet could transform business. He writes: ”My real hopes for the next few years are solutions to the outstanding technical, procedural and political bottlenecks standing in the way of true Internet growth … Bandwidth to the user remains the ultimate bottleneck for Internet or any more-than-ASCII interactive use. Though many (including myself) scoff, basic-rate ISDN is already becoming a reality. BRI ISDN’s 64 Kbps is enough to make multimedia interaction tolerable. Whether data-over-cable will materialize remains to be seen; my crystal ball tersely suggests ‘technical support, security and assured bandwidth problems remain nontrivial.'”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Network Computing
Title, headline, chapter name: The Internet, Your Company and You
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page 50
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne