Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Adams Media Research says that while nothing is happening this year, 200,000 cable modems will be sold in 1996 – 1.5 million in 1998 – representing a $400 million market. Sanford Bernstein analyst Tom Wolzein foresees 6.6 million boxes sold in 1998 for a $1.5 billion market.

Predictor: Adams Media Research

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article he wrote for Red Herring, Jonathan Burke talks to technology business leaders about the future of Internet access, quoting statistics. He writes: ”Two recent studies on the cable modem market came to drastically different conclusions. Adams Media Research says that while nothing is happening this year, 200,000 cable modems will be sold in 1996 – 1.5 million in 1998 – representing a $400 million market. Sanford Bernstein analyst Tom Wolzein foresees 6.6 million boxes sold in 1998 for a $1.5 billion market.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Cost/Pricing

Name of publication: Red Herring

Title, headline, chapter name: The Word On Internet Acess

Quote Type: Paraphrase

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.redherring.com/mag/issue25/word.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Stotler, Larry