We should become especially oriented to pursuing improvement as a multi-element, co-evolution process. In particular, we need to give explicit attention to the co-evolution of the Tool System and the Human System.
Predictor: Engelbart, Douglas
Prediction, in context:In a 1992 article titled “Toward High-Performance Organizations,” Douglas Engelbart writes: ”As we pursue significant capability improvement, we need to appreciate that we will be trying to affect the evolution of a very large and complex system that has a life and evolutionary dynamic of its own. Concurrent evolution of many parts of the system will be going on anyway (as it has for centuries). We will have to go along with that situation, and pursue our improvement objectives via facilitation and guidance of these evolutionary processes. Therefore, we should become especially oriented to pursuing improvement as a multi-element, co-evolution process. In particular, we need to give explicit attention to the co-evolution of the Tool System and the Human System.”
Biography:Douglas Engelbart, the inventor of the computer mouse, spent 40 years predicting, designing and implementing the future of organizational computing. In 1962, while at the Stanford Research Institute, he produced the paper “Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” from which came the concepts of augmenting human intellect, improvement infrastructure, co-evolution of artifacts with social-cultural language-practices and bootstrapping. His Augmentation Research Center developed an array of important human-computer interface solutions, including hypermedia. In 1989 he co-founded the Bootstrap Institute, a non-profit organization “in a quest to form strategic alliances aimed at improving organizations and society at large.” (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: June 1, 1992
Topic of prediction: General, Overarching Remarks
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: Bootstrap Institute
Title, headline, chapter name: Toward High-Performance Organizations: A Strategic Role for Groupware
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.bootstrap.org/augment/AUGMENT/132811.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam