Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

Each of us knowledge workers will become involved in an ever richer online environment, collaborating more and more closely within an ever more global “knowledge workshop,” with multi-organizational users of widely divergent skills and application orientations who are using hardware and software from a wide mix of vendors. Without some global architectural capability such as suggested above, I can’t see a practical way to support and control the evolving global “workshop vocabulary” in a manner necessary for effectively integrating wide-area groupware services.

Predictor: Engelbart, Douglas

Prediction, in context:

In a 1992 article titled “Toward High-Performance Organizations,” Douglas Engelbart writes: ”Somewhat new in the history of computer services are issues regarding the evolution and use of a common ‘workshop vocabulary’ among all the users of the forthcoming ‘global knowledge workshop.’ Common data dictionaries have been at issue, of course, but for a much more limited range of users, and for a more limited and stable vocabulary than we will face in the exploding groupware world … Each of us knowledge workers will become involved in an ever richer online environment, collaborating more and more closely within an ever more global ‘knowledge workshop,’ with multi-organizational users of widely divergent skills and application orientations who are using hardware and software from a wide mix of vendors. Without some global architectural capability such as suggested above, I can’t see a practical way to support and control the evolving global ‘workshop vocabulary’ in a manner necessary for effectively integrating wide-area groupware services.”

Biography:

Douglas Engelbart, the inventor of the computer mouse, spent 40 years predicting, designing and implementing the future of organizational computing. In 1962, while at the Stanford Research Institute, he produced the paper “Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” from which came the concepts of augmenting human intellect, improvement infrastructure, co-evolution of artifacts with social-cultural language-practices and bootstrapping. His Augmentation Research Center developed an array of important human-computer interface solutions, including hypermedia. In 1989 he co-founded the Bootstrap Institute, a non-profit organization “in a quest to form strategic alliances aimed at improving organizations and society at large.” (Pioneer/Originator.)

Date of prediction: June 1, 1992

Topic of prediction: Global Relationships/Politics

Subtopic: Creating a Smaller World

Name of publication: Bootstrap Institute

Title, headline, chapter name: Toward High-Performance Organizations: A Strategic Role for Groupware

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.bootstrap.org/augment/AUGMENT/132811.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Garber, Adam