The prediction, in brief:

To ensure people in info-businesses obtain fair recompense for the intellectual property they create, we will need agreements on the use of suitable security technology capable of monitoring and auditing the progress of electronic objects on the Internet, which in turn will need new technical standards and might possibly need new forms of business contracts as well.

Predictor: Taylor, John

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for Electronic Engineering Times, Peter Clarke reports on the remarks made by John Taylor, director of Hewlett-Packard European research and development arm, at a Brussels, Belgium, exhibition held in conjunction with a Group of Seven ministerial conference. Clarke writes:”[Taxation of Internet transactions in Europe] might be some way off. Taylor pointed out that at the moment no record company could connect its hit audio or video recordings to the Internet, because it would immediately become freely available and could be copied. ‘To ensure people in info-businesses obtain fair recompense for the intellectual property they create, we will need agreements on the use of suitable security technology capable of monitoring and auditing the progress of electronic objects on the Internet, which in turn will need new technical standards and might possibly need new forms of business contracts as well,’ he said … ‘Technology has a role to play. It should be possible to embed a signature in a pop video to prove where it came from and deter illegal copying.'”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Copyright/Intellectual Property/Plagiarism

Name of publication: Electronic Engineering Times

Title, headline, chapter name: Transaction Taxes Seen for Info Superhighway: HP Laboratories’ Europe Research Director Sees Focus on Economic Issues

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web7.infotrac.galegroup.com/itw/infomark/852/216/33661254w7/purl=rc1_EAIM_0_A16864068&dyn=5!xrn_1_0_A16864068?sw_aep=ncliveec

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney