Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

If a U.S. goal is to exploit the potential of electronic networks to equalize opportunities between haves and have-nots, making computers and training available will be essential. Also, access and training in combination is important – making computers available with no training or technical support is unlikely to lead to effective use – in the same way that introducing computers into classrooms positively influences outcomes only when teachers and students are trained to use them and have opportunities to do so regularly as a part of their routine educational activities.

Predictor: Anderson, Robert H.

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 research paper published for the RAND Publications Database, Robert H. Anderson, Tora K. Bikson, Sally Ann Law, Bridger M. Mitchell, Christopher Kedzie, Brent Keltner, Constantijn Panis, Joel Pliskin, Padmanabhan Srinagesh write about the feasibility of universal access to e-mail: ”If a U.S. goal is to exploit the potential of electronic networks to equalize opportunities between haves and have-nots, making computers and training available will be essential. Also, access and training in combination is important – making computers available with no training or technical support is unlikely to lead to effective use – in the same way that introducing computers into classrooms positively influences outcomes only when teachers and students are trained to use them and have opportunities to do so regularly as a part of their routine educational activities.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Controversial Issues

Subtopic: Digital Divide

Name of publication: Rand Publications Database

Title, headline, chapter name: Universal Access to E-mail: Feasibility and Societal Implications

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR650/mr650.ch5/ch5.html#ch5.h4

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney