Institutional America has already voted, and it’s over. Get a Web. Our initial reaction on looking this over this month was that we had missed the party. The Web looked completely different than it did just six months ago. But in reality this all happened in ONE MONTH: October. It looked like somebody had set off a Web bomb. I would guess the number of Web sites essentially doubled in the last 30 days … An entire frontier of software development and “tool building” lies before us with this model … That leaves access and bandwidth. That will continue to be the big problem for most potential Internauts for the immediate future.
Predictor: Rickard, Jack
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 commentary for the Internet Gazette, Boardwatch editor and publisher Jack Rickard writes:”Mosaic and the World Wide Web are pretty, but they’re terribly piggish about bandwidth … It’s a superb effort out of the gate, and we have to believe they think they can improve it from there. Institutional America has already voted, and it’s over. Get a Web. Our initial reaction on looking this over this month was that we had missed the party. The Web looked completely different than it did just six months ago. But in reality this all happened in ONE MONTH: October. It looked like somebody had set off a Web bomb. I would guess the number of Web sites essentially doubled in the last 30 days … An entire frontier of software development and ‘tool building’ lies before us with this model … That leaves access and bandwidth. That will continue to be the big problem for most potential Internauts for the immediate future. But long-term, I’m not even certain I’m still bandwidth worried. We may have some unexpected help on the horizon.”
Biography:Jack Rickard, the editor/publisher of Boardwatch Magazine, the magazine of the 1990s home-grown BBS industry, was also co-founder of the Online Networking Exposition and BBS Convention (ONE BBSCON). (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: December 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Bandwidth
Name of publication: Internet Gazette
Title, headline, chapter name: Webulism and the Cable Fable
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.kenmccarthy.com/archive/gazette/ig3.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Schmidt, Nicholas